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In 2014 Randall Munroe of XKCD predicted that there would be more minifigures than people by 2019.

Was he correct? Have we reached the crossing point, and if so, when? If not, when will we?

  • I do not know the answer but the growth of the human population is definitely not linear. – BalazsToth Dec 16 '18 at 17:15
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    From skeptics Will Lego people outnumber people by 2017? – Ankit Sharma Dec 16 '18 at 18:44
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    @BalazsToth since 1970 it has been – Tim Dec 16 '18 at 18:44
  • Someone told me that in 2012 we already had reached the crossing point. However, I was not able to find the source yet. Maybe it is not that obvious. – Aziraphale Dec 16 '18 at 19:30
  • @Tim Checked it, you’re right. I was pretty sure it’s rather exponential. Good to know! – BalazsToth Dec 17 '18 at 0:09
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To get the official info, I have asked LEGO about this topic:

Dear LEGO, in 2003 you have reported that there are (were) 4.000.000.000 LEGO minifigures produced by that time. I was wondering if there are more recent numbers available, especially since the popularity of the collectible minifigures, which could indicate an increase in the production rate.

Could you please provide some official information? Even estimates would be welcome.

Thank you!

And received the following reply:

Thanks for getting in touch with us.

Thank you for your interest in LEGO® Trivia, that is an interesting question.

You are certainly right that the number should have increased drasticly since then but I can't give you any new numbers. I am sorry but you will have to wait till our marketing department decides it is time to release more fun facts like this.

So in the absence of official numbers, we can only guess.

  • Haha, they don't know. Right now some LEGO agent is consulting the Bricklink catalog to come up with a number :) – Aziraphale Jan 3 at 13:21

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